The collapse of a major nation in a geopolitical area that is already under great pressure

Wild Card submitted by Ivan Montenegro Perini   / Comments (0)
The collapse of a major nation in a geopolitical area that is already under great pressure

Issue (WIWE) status: Submitted, Unpublished

Wild Card's progress: Basic

This Wild Card came from: 
Interviews

The source of this Wild Card: 
Joe RAVETZ, University of Manchester, Interviewed by MIoIR

Likelihood timeframe and scenario features : 
now-2025

Wild Card's description: 

So Pakistan, Iran or Russia. Each of these major nations with large populations is already under huge pressure from internal dissent, terrorist groups, breakaway groups and financial pressure, etc. We can imagine dramatic possible impacts. Pakistan falls to pieces and becomes more of a war zone than it is already. Pressure on Afghanistan, Iran, etc. then escalates and spreads, so there is social, economic and environmental catastrophe and instability, which spreads to Russia, India etc. Maybe the Chinese move into the area, because they are the most powerful player, and take over with military law and millions of soldiers. The shape of the world changes very suddenly.

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