Break through in natural systems prediction methods

Break through in natural systems prediction methods

Wild Card's progress: nominated

This Wild Card came from: 
European Commission Framework Programme for RTD

The theme/scheme related to this Wild Card: 
IDEAS: Physical Sciences & Engineering

The sub-theme that best relates to this Wild Card: 
Earth system science

Wild Card's description 
We may finally predict volcanic erutions, tsunamis etc. VOLDIES (Project Reference: 228064) project will create a global database on volcanic eruptions, their hazards and key risk factors (such as population density), which will be analysed to provide robust data for hazard and risk assessment at global, regional and local scales. New methods of probabilistic risk assessment will be developed, which combine hard and soft data, take account of uncertainties and integrate information on vulnerability and hazard. The research will include a study of risk perception as a key factor in vulnerability by comparing communities in different volcanic settings and across cultures.